All this created havoc for owners with limited roster space on such short notice.
Who should you grab first? Who should you drop? Where’s the computer?
Do you target McCutchen, the speedy 23-year-old center fielder who essentially made Nate McLouth expendable for Pittsburgh?
Or do you go for Beckham, the 22-year-old shortstop-turned-third baseman who shot through the White Sox system less than one year after being drafted?
Strike that, actually. Given all the hype surrounding Hanson since earning Arizona Fall League Most Valuable Player honors, the chances of him just hanging around the free-agent pool are slim. And let’s be honest — Beckham and McCutchen, for all their talent, don’t hold a torch to Hanson in terms of immediate upside. If Matt Wieters is the one American League rookie to own this year, then Hanson is that guy in the National League, even after getting beat up by the Brewers in his big league debut.
The choice ultimately comes down to McCutchen and Beckham, both of whom weren’t expected to be promoted this early in the season.
The smart money says McCutchen. He’s got tons of speed, blossoming power, five years of Minor League seasoning and the guarantee of playing time now with McLouth patrolling center in Atlanta. Baseball America has been drooling over his physical attributes for years, and with 34 stolen bases last year and improved power with a career-high .496 slugging percentage this year, he’s backed up the hype for the most part.
Beckham carries more risk, largely because he just hasn’t been around for long. This time last year, the guy was leading the Georgia Bulldogs to an NCAA championship. Now, he has a real chance of supplanting Josh Fields at the hot corner, despite doubts held by his own manager, Ozzie Guillen, who told several outlets during Spring Training that the club would be “in trouble” if Beckham were in the Majors this season. With that in mind, it’s fair to wonder whether the White Sox rushed him at all.
But Minor League service time is just one thing to consider.
The fact that Beckham qualifies at shortstop, third and possibly even second soon can’t be dismissed. It’s enough of a reason to go back and comb through his Minor League record carefully, all 59 games worth of it.
Are Beckham’s impressive numbers — a .322 average and a .519 slugging percentage — enough to go on? According to someone who covers Minor League players, yes, double-digit homers aren’t out of the question for the Atlanta native, who already possesses considerably more pop than McCutchen, whose pedestrian .423 slugging percentage on the farm leaves much to be desired. The real concern, according to this source, wasn’t at the plate, but on the defensive end, where Beckham could struggle given his lack of experience at third.
That leads me to think the McCutchen vs. Beckham debate depends largely each owner’s immediate needs. If speed and outfield depth are weaknesses, then the exciting new Bucs center fielder is your man, no question. But, if you need help up the middle, going for the high-risk/high-reward guy in Beckham makes sense. Even more so in points leagues, where steals aren’t nearly as valuable as they are in standard 5×5 formats.
For those reasons, I actually wound up cutting McCutchen in a points league shortly after grabbing him to get a hold of Beckham.
Regardless of whom you choose, one thing is clear: both McCutchen and Beckham have impact potential and deserve all the attention they’re receiving.
In other news …
Two days after Garrett Atkins seemingly snapped a season-long slump with two homers in one game, the red-hot Ian Stewart did the same thing, complicating the veteran’s chances of reclaiming full-time status at third base.
Another third-base situation worth watching is the one in Milwaukee, where Mat Gamel is getting more playing time at the expense of Bill Hall, whose struggles against right-handers are well documented.
Fausto Carmona’s sinker may not be sinking, but his stock sure hit rock bottom this week.
One Tribe member whose value isn’t sinking, ironically, is that of Carl Pavano, who looks more like the pitcher who helped lead the Marlins to the 2003 World Series championship than the primary subject of the boo-birds in the Bronx, having gone 7-1 with a 3.00 ERA and a 40/10 K/BB ratio since the start of May, including his first complete-game shutout in four years last time out.
Another pitcher who deserves a second chance is Jeff Niemann, who sports a scintillating 1.73 ERA and a 21/3 K/BB ratio in his past four starts after reportedly tweaking his mechanics a few weeks ago.
Oakland’s rookie starters, namely, Vin Mazzaro, Brett Anderson, Trevor Cahill and Josh Outman, seem to be figuring out how to handle Major League hitters after some tough lessons. In fact, the entire pitching staff owns a surprising 1.89 ERA this month.
— Alex Cushing, MLB.com
While a revitalized Michael Cuddyer was busy hitting for the cycle Friday, things went from bad to worse for one of last year’s biggest surprise stories.
It’s easy to see why the Marlins sent him packing. Friday was the last straw, his second straight eight-run meltdown, leaving him with an indefensible 9.07 ERA and 2-5 record.
Where did it all go wrong? What happened to the guy who returned last spring from a 10-month injury hiatus and went on to establish himself as one of the game’s top starters, notching 98 strikeouts, just 12 walks and a 3.29 ERA down the stretch?
How did Nolasco become the National League’s punching bag?
“What I’m seeing is it looks like he’s lost a little bit of belief in himself,” Marlins catcher John Baker said. “It looks like he’s pitching away from contact.”
Pitching coach Mark Wiley: “I think he was putting pressure on himself to do well. He was over-throwing pitches, and kind of losing a little bit of his mechanics.”
Manager Fredi Gonzalez: “We’ve got to get his confidence back.”
The notion that Nolasco’s problems are more mental than physical seems to be supported by the numbers.
For all the disappointment he’s caused for owners who believed they were drafting a staff ace, keep in mind that Nolasco’s basic skills remain intact: his mid-90s fastball, his 7.63 K/9 rate and his 37/13 K/BB ratio all paint a far different picture than the image of someone getting chased out of Florida.
It just means that, barring some injury being concealed from everyone, there isn’t anything major wrong with him. Nothing that a confidence boost and a few mechanical adjustments can’t cure.
So before you go kicking him to the curb out of frustration, ask yourself this:
How would you feel if after giving up on Nolasco, he rejoined the Marlins rotation in no time and completely turned things around on someone else’s team?
– Alex Cushing, MLB.com